CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionTDTropa do KinGui#144 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Martians#220 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMartians ban
50%57%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Martians +7%Martians · 3 maps
Dust2Tropa do KinGui pick
50%29%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Tropa do KinGui +21%Martians · 3 maps
MirageMartians pick
50%57%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Martians +7%Martians · 3 maps
AnubisTropa do KinGui ban
50%60%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Martians +10%Martians · 1 map
InfernoMartians ban
50%60%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Martians +10%Martians · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTropa do KinGui remove Anubis
2. BanMartians remove Inferno
3. PickTropa do KinGui take Dust2
4. PickMartians take Mirage
5. BanMartians remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
Tropa do KinGui 40%Martians 60%
The model gave 60% on Martians — the map was taken by Tropa do KinGui.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Tropa do KinGui 53%Martians 47%
The model gave 53% on Tropa do KinGui — the map was taken by Tropa do KinGui.
Model check result
Model favoriteTropa do KinGui · 61%
Series resultTropa do KinGui 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2