Parken Challenger Championship Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fortress#236 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Invicta#225 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Fortress 47%Invicta 53%
The model gave 53% on Invicta — the map was taken by Invicta.
Infernoprediction missed14:16
Fortress 53%Invicta 47%
The model gave 53% on Fortress — the map was taken by Invicta.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvicta · 52%
Series resultInvicta 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2