CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MOUZ#3 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageB8 pick
63%67%
B8 · 4 mapsnearly even -4%MOUZ · 5 maps
NukeB8 ban
33%70%
B8 · 2 mapsedge MOUZ +37%MOUZ · 6 maps
AncientMOUZ ban
71%43%
B8 · 3 mapsedge B8 +28%MOUZ · 3 maps
Dust2MOUZ ban
33%57%
B8 · 2 mapsedge MOUZ +24%MOUZ · 3 maps
InfernoMOUZ pick
50%56%
B8 · 0 mapsedge MOUZ +6%MOUZ · 5 maps
OverpassB8 ban
67%67%
B8 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%MOUZ · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Nuke
2. BanMOUZ remove Ancient
3. PickB8 take Mirage
4. PickMOUZ take Inferno
5. BanMOUZ remove Dust2
6. BanB8 remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct8:13
B8 47%MOUZ 53%
The model gave 53% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Ancientprediction missed20:22
B8 79%MOUZ 21%
The model gave 79% on B8 — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 62%
Series resultMOUZ 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2