BC Game Masters Championship Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · loss 8:13series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 8:13
RBLS#93 in the world · win 13:8The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
29%55%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge RBLS +26%RBLS · 7 maps
AnubisRBLS ban
71%33%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge Betclic +38%RBLS · 2 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
29%67%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge RBLS +38%RBLS · 2 maps
OverpassBetclic ban
40%43%
Betclic · 1 mapnearly even -3%RBLS · 3 maps
Dust2Betclic ban
50%57%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge RBLS +7%RBLS · 3 maps
AncientRBLS ban
40%40%
Betclic · 1 mapnearly even +0%RBLS · 1 map
DefaultRBLS ban
60%60%
Betclic · 1 mapnearly even +0%RBLS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Overpass
2. BanRBLS remove Anubis
3. BanBetclic remove Inferno
4. BanRBLS remove Ancient
5. BanBetclic remove Dust2
6. BanRBLS remove Default
DeciderNuke (29% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
Betclic 25%RBLS 75%
The model gave 75% on RBLS — the map was taken by RBLS.
Model check result
Model favoriteRBLS · 51%
Series resultRBLS 8:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1