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CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2MIBR Academy ban
50%33%
Bounty Hunters · 12 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +17%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
AncientBounty Hunters pick
64%50%
Bounty Hunters · 10 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +14%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
MirageMIBR Academy ban
62%57%
Bounty Hunters · 9 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +5%MIBR Academy · 3 maps
NukeMIBR Academy pick
75%63%
Bounty Hunters · 8 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +12%MIBR Academy · 4 maps
AnubisBounty Hunters ban
38%50%
Bounty Hunters · 4 mapsedge MIBR Academy +12%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
40%43%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapnearly even -3%MIBR Academy · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%67%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge MIBR Academy +17%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
2. BanMIBR Academy remove Dust2
3. PickBounty Hunters take Ancient
4. PickMIBR Academy take Nuke
5. BanMIBR Academy remove Mirage
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Bounty Hunters 64%MIBR Academy 36%
The model gave 64% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
Bounty Hunters 67%MIBR Academy 33%
The model gave 67% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
Bounty Hunters 55%MIBR Academy 45%
The model gave 55% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 66%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3