CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GUARA ban
50%25%
ex-KRÜ · 6 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +25%GUARA · 4 maps
InfernoGUARA pick
29%29%
ex-KRÜ · 3 mapsnearly even +0%GUARA · 3 maps
Nukeex-KRÜ pick
63%33%
ex-KRÜ · 4 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +30%GUARA · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
43%40%
ex-KRÜ · 3 mapsnearly even +3%GUARA · 1 map
Ancientex-KRÜ ban
33%50%
ex-KRÜ · 2 mapsedge GUARA +17%GUARA · 0 maps
Defaultex-KRÜ ban
50%67%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsedge GUARA +17%GUARA · 2 maps
OverpassGUARA ban
40%50%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-KRÜ remove Ancient
2. BanGUARA remove Overpass
3. Pickex-KRÜ take Nuke
4. PickGUARA take Inferno
5. BanGUARA remove Dust2
6. Banex-KRÜ remove Default
DeciderMirage (43% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
ex-KRÜ 79%GUARA 21%
The model gave 79% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
ex-KRÜ 31%GUARA 69%
The model gave 69% on GUARA — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 63%
Series resultex-KRÜ 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2