HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO1
result vs prediction
WBT Academy#130 in the world · loss 6:13series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 6:13
SAW Youngsters#128 in the world · win 13:6The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWBT Academy ban
60%62%
WBT Academy · 16 mapsnearly even -2%SAW Youngsters · 9 maps
Dust2SAW Youngsters ban
77%41%
WBT Academy · 9 mapsedge WBT Academy +36%SAW Youngsters · 13 maps
MirageWBT Academy ban
43%43%
WBT Academy · 10 mapsnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 10 maps
AncientSAW Youngsters ban
60%50%
WBT Academy · 6 mapsedge WBT Academy +10%SAW Youngsters · 6 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
38%29%
WBT Academy · 9 mapsedge WBT Academy +9%SAW Youngsters · 3 maps
InfernoWBT Academy ban
50%57%
WBT Academy · 0 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%SAW Youngsters · 10 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
WBT Academy · 1 mapnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT Academy remove Inferno
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
3. BanWBT Academy remove Mirage
4. BanSAW Youngsters remove Ancient
5. BanWBT Academy remove Anubis
6. BanSAW Youngsters remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
WBT Academy 48%SAW Youngsters 52%
The model gave 52% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 59%
Series resultSAW Youngsters 6:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1