HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
OG#124 in the world · win 2:0series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BC.Game#42 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
50%56%
OG · 10 mapsedge BC.Game +6%BC.Game · 12 maps
Dust2OG pick
71%75%
OG · 13 mapsnearly even -4%BC.Game · 8 maps
MirageBC.Game pick
58%64%
OG · 8 mapsedge BC.Game +6%BC.Game · 10 maps
CacheOG ban
33%69%
OG · 5 mapsedge BC.Game +36%BC.Game · 12 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
64%36%
OG · 7 mapsedge OG +28%BC.Game · 7 maps
InfernoOG ban
31%56%
OG · 9 mapsedge BC.Game +25%BC.Game · 5 maps
AnubisBC.Game ban
50%40%
OG · 0 mapsedge OG +10%BC.Game · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOG remove Cache
2. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
3. PickOG take Dust2
4. PickBC.Game take Mirage
5. BanBC.Game remove Anubis
6. BanOG remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
OG 29%BC.Game 71%
The model gave 71% on BC.Game — the map was taken by OG.
Cacheprediction missed16:14
OG 17%BC.Game 83%
The model gave 83% on BC.Game — the map was taken by OG.
Model check result
Model favoriteBC.Game · 83%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2