FiRe Last Chance 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Procyon#117 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
78%53%
Galorys · 36 mapsedge Galorys +25%Procyon · 13 maps
Dust2Procyon ban
56%42%
Galorys · 23 mapsedge Galorys +14%Procyon · 15 maps
InfernoProcyon pick
35%65%
Galorys · 13 mapsedge Procyon +30%Procyon · 19 maps
AnubisGalorys ban
50%73%
Galorys · 14 mapsedge Procyon +23%Procyon · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
69%58%
Galorys · 12 mapsedge Galorys +11%Procyon · 8 maps
CacheProcyon ban
47%50%
Galorys · 11 mapsnearly even -3%Procyon · 0 maps
MirageGalorys ban
50%56%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge Procyon +6%Procyon · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Mirage
2. BanProcyon remove Cache
3. PickGalorys take Ancient
4. PickProcyon take Inferno
5. BanProcyon remove Dust2
6. BanGalorys remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (69% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
Galorys 21%Procyon 79%
The model gave 79% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
Galorys 78%Procyon 22%
The model gave 78% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Dust2prediction missed17:19
Galorys 63%Procyon 37%
The model gave 63% on Galorys — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 62%
Series resultProcyon 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3