FiRe Last Chance 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
ShindeN#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Isurus#236 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoShindeN ban
47%39%
ShindeN · 11 mapsedge ShindeN +8%Isurus · 14 maps
Dust2possible decider
53%53%
ShindeN · 13 mapsnearly even +0%Isurus · 11 maps
AncientIsurus ban
56%29%
ShindeN · 5 mapsedge ShindeN +27%Isurus · 10 maps
NukeShindeN pick
56%29%
ShindeN · 12 mapsedge ShindeN +27%Isurus · 3 maps
MirageIsurus ban
31%33%
ShindeN · 12 mapsnearly even -2%Isurus · 2 maps
CacheIsurus pick
40%55%
ShindeN · 6 mapsedge Isurus +15%Isurus · 7 maps
DefaultShindeN ban
50%71%
ShindeN · 0 mapsedge Isurus +21%Isurus · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShindeN remove Default
2. BanIsurus remove Ancient
3. PickShindeN take Nuke
4. PickIsurus take Cache
5. BanIsurus remove Mirage
6. BanShindeN remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (53% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:3
ShindeN 33%Isurus 67%
The model gave 67% on Isurus — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
ShindeN 61%Isurus 39%
The model gave 61% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Model check result
Model favoriteShindeN · 79%
Series resultShindeN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2