Gamers Club Masters VII · BO3
result vs predictionLCLow Cortisol BR#224 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALKA#153 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ALKA pick
38%62%
Low Cortisol BR · 4 mapsedge ALKA +24%ALKA · 25 maps
Ancientpossible decider
43%38%
Low Cortisol BR · 3 mapsedge Low Cortisol BR +5%ALKA · 20 maps
MirageLow Cortisol BR pick
43%57%
Low Cortisol BR · 3 mapsedge ALKA +14%ALKA · 10 maps
NukeALKA ban
33%50%
Low Cortisol BR · 2 mapsedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 10 maps
InfernoLow Cortisol BR ban
40%54%
Low Cortisol BR · 1 mapedge ALKA +14%ALKA · 9 maps
CacheALKA ban
60%45%
Low Cortisol BR · 1 mapedge Low Cortisol BR +15%ALKA · 7 maps
DefaultLow Cortisol BR ban
33%40%
Low Cortisol BR · 2 mapsedge ALKA +7%ALKA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLow Cortisol BR remove Inferno
2. BanALKA remove Cache
3. PickLow Cortisol BR take Mirage
4. PickALKA take Dust2
5. BanALKA remove Nuke
6. BanLow Cortisol BR remove Default
DeciderAncient (43% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
Low Cortisol BR 53%ALKA 47%
The model gave 53% on Low Cortisol BR — the map was taken by Low Cortisol BR.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
Low Cortisol BR 25%ALKA 75%
The model gave 75% on ALKA — the map was taken by Low Cortisol BR.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 59%
Series resultLow Cortisol BR 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2