FiRe Last Chance 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#67 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BBTHloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
58%50%
BESTIA · 15 mapsedge BESTIA +8%BTH · 0 maps
MirageBTH ban
53%50%
BESTIA · 13 mapsnearly even +3%BTH · 0 maps
InfernoBTH ban
77%50%
BESTIA · 9 mapsedge BESTIA +27%BTH · 0 maps
AncientBESTIA ban
50%50%
BESTIA · 8 mapsnearly even +0%BTH · 0 maps
CacheBTH pick
42%50%
BESTIA · 8 mapsedge BTH +8%BTH · 0 maps
NukeBESTIA ban
50%50%
BESTIA · 6 mapsnearly even +0%BTH · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Nuke
2. BanBTH remove Inferno
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickBTH take Cache
5. BanBTH remove Mirage
6. BanBESTIA remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
BESTIA 50%BTH 50%
The model gave 50% on BTH — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
BESTIA 61%BTH 39%
The model gave 61% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 77%
Series resultBESTIA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2