FiRe Last Chance 2026 · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
NRG#31 in the worldseries probability now
58%42%
was 49% pre-match
Wildcard#47 in the worldIn live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoWildcard pick
33%50%
NRG · 8 mapsedge Wildcard +17%Wildcard · 14 maps
MirageWildcard ban
46%41%
NRG · 9 mapsedge NRG +5%Wildcard · 13 maps
NukeNRG ban
69%64%
NRG · 9 mapsedge NRG +5%Wildcard · 10 maps
CacheNRG pick
59%56%
NRG · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Wildcard · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
64%57%
NRG · 7 mapsedge NRG +7%Wildcard · 3 maps
AncientWildcard ban
60%50%
NRG · 6 mapsedge NRG +10%Wildcard · 0 maps
AnubisNRG ban
50%50%
NRG · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Wildcard · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNRG remove Anubis
2. BanWildcard remove Ancient
3. PickNRG take Cache
4. PickWildcard take Inferno
5. BanWildcard remove Mirage
6. BanNRG remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (64% / 57%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Nukenot played · Wildcard pick— : —
NRG 53%Wildcard 47%
Historical winrate over 3 months: NRG 69% (9 maps) vs 64% (10 maps) for Wildcard.
Dust2not played · NRG pick— : —
NRG 60%Wildcard 40%
Historical winrate over 3 months: NRG 64% (7 maps) vs 57% (3 maps) for Wildcard.
Cachenot played · decider— : —
NRG 53%Wildcard 47%
Historical winrate over 3 months: NRG 59% (13 maps) vs 56% (5 maps) for Wildcard.