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CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Saint Sinners#115 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Misa#136 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Saint Sinners pick
65%55%
Saint Sinners · 22 mapsedge Saint Sinners +10%Misa · 16 maps
AnubisMisa pick
60%52%
Saint Sinners · 6 mapsedge Saint Sinners +8%Misa · 23 maps
MirageMisa ban
47%47%
Saint Sinners · 15 mapsnearly even +0%Misa · 13 maps
NukeSaint Sinners ban
31%44%
Saint Sinners · 9 mapsedge Misa +13%Misa · 14 maps
CacheSaint Sinners ban
40%46%
Saint Sinners · 1 mapedge Misa +6%Misa · 20 maps
AncientMisa ban
47%36%
Saint Sinners · 13 mapsedge Saint Sinners +11%Misa · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%53%
Saint Sinners · 6 mapsedge Misa +13%Misa · 13 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSaint Sinners remove Cache
2. BanMisa remove Ancient
3. PickSaint Sinners take Dust2
4. PickMisa take Anubis
5. BanMisa remove Mirage
6. BanSaint Sinners remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (40% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
Saint Sinners 64%Misa 36%
The model gave 64% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Misa.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
Saint Sinners 34%Misa 66%
The model gave 66% on Misa — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Anubisprediction missed7:13
Saint Sinners 58%Misa 42%
The model gave 58% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteSaint Sinners · 54%
Series resultMisa 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3