CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#53 in the world · win 1:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
HYPERSPIRIT#113 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientHYPERSPIRIT ban
65%35%
Nuclear TigeRES · 27 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +30%HYPERSPIRIT · 13 maps
Dust2Nuclear TigeRES ban
50%46%
Nuclear TigeRES · 30 mapsnearly even +4%HYPERSPIRIT · 9 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
62%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 25 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +12%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
Infernopossible decider
73%47%
Nuclear TigeRES · 18 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +26%HYPERSPIRIT · 11 maps
CacheHYPERSPIRIT pick
60%57%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsnearly even +3%HYPERSPIRIT · 17 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
33%47%
Nuclear TigeRES · 5 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +14%HYPERSPIRIT · 11 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
56%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +6%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Cache
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Ancient
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (73% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Nuclear TigeRES 50%HYPERSPIRIT 50%
The model gave 50% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 67%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1