CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#209 in the world · win 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
benched gods#196 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageHonvéd pick
43%33%
Honvéd · 24 mapsedge Honvéd +10%benched gods · 20 maps
Dust2benched gods ban
32%33%
Honvéd · 27 mapsnearly even -1%benched gods · 8 maps
Cachebenched gods pick
41%57%
Honvéd · 13 mapsedge benched gods +16%benched gods · 19 maps
Defaultpossible decider
53%88%
Honvéd · 11 mapsedge benched gods +35%benched gods · 12 maps
AncientHonvéd ban
42%41%
Honvéd · 8 mapsnearly even +1%benched gods · 13 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
30%53%
Honvéd · 6 mapsedge benched gods +23%benched gods · 15 maps
Infernobenched gods ban
40%43%
Honvéd · 16 mapsnearly even -3%benched gods · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
2. Banbenched gods remove Dust2
3. PickHonvéd take Mirage
4. Pickbenched gods take Cache
5. Banbenched gods remove Inferno
6. BanHonvéd remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (53% / 88%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Honvéd 14%benched gods 86%
The model gave 86% on benched gods — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoritebenched gods · 52%
Series resultHonvéd 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1