CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MAYBE#176 in the world · win 1:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
benched gods#196 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMAYBE pick
48%33%
MAYBE · 21 mapedge MAYBE +15%benched gods · 20 maps
Cachebenched gods pick
43%57%
MAYBE · 10 mapsedge benched gods +14%benched gods · 19 maps
Ancientbenched gods ban
44%41%
MAYBE · 14 mapsnearly even +3%benched gods · 13 maps
AnubisMAYBE ban
50%53%
MAYBE · 4 mapsnearly even -3%benched gods · 15 maps
Dust2benched gods ban
33%33%
MAYBE · 11 mapsnearly even +0%benched gods · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%82%
MAYBE · 3 mapsedge benched gods +39%benched gods · 13 maps
NukeMAYBE ban
40%50%
MAYBE · 6 mapsedge benched gods +10%benched gods · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMAYBE remove Nuke
2. Banbenched gods remove Dust2
3. PickMAYBE take Mirage
4. Pickbenched gods take Cache
5. Banbenched gods remove Ancient
6. BanMAYBE remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (43% / 82%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
MAYBE 14%benched gods 86%
The model gave 86% on benched gods — the map was taken by MAYBE.
Model check result
Model favoriteMAYBE · 52%
Series resultMAYBE 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1