GOEXANIMO Battle of Baltics 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Galaxywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nuke
40%50%
Esprots · 1 mapedge Galaxy +10%Galaxy · 0 maps
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct12:16
Esprots 47%Galaxy 53%
The model gave 53% on Galaxy — the map was taken by Galaxy.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
Esprots 53%Galaxy 47%
The model gave 53% on Esprots — the map was taken by Galaxy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEsprots · 50%
Series resultGalaxy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2