CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Young Ninjas#103 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisMisa pick
43%33%
Young Ninjas · 3 mapsedge Young Ninjas +10%Misa · 2 maps
Dust2Young Ninjas pick
50%60%
Young Ninjas · 4 mapsedge Misa +10%Misa · 1 map
AncientMisa ban
50%50%
Young Ninjas · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Misa · 0 maps
InfernoYoung Ninjas ban
50%50%
Young Ninjas · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Misa · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
40%40%
Young Ninjas · 1 mapnearly even +0%Misa · 1 map
MirageMisa ban
50%40%
Young Ninjas · 0 mapsedge Young Ninjas +10%Misa · 1 map
OverpassYoung Ninjas ban
50%40%
Young Ninjas · 0 mapsedge Young Ninjas +10%Misa · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYoung Ninjas remove Inferno
2. BanMisa remove Ancient
3. PickYoung Ninjas take Dust2
4. PickMisa take Anubis
5. BanMisa remove Mirage
6. BanYoung Ninjas remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
Young Ninjas 57%Misa 43%
The model gave 57% on Young Ninjas — the map was taken by Misa.
Nukeprediction correct19:17
Young Ninjas 53%Misa 47%
The model gave 53% on Young Ninjas — the map was taken by Young Ninjas.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Young Ninjas 40%Misa 60%
The model gave 60% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteYoung Ninjas · 66%
Series resultMisa 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3