CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
The MongolZ#16 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
B8#15 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageB8 pick
43%57%
The MongolZ · 3 mapsedge B8 +14%B8 · 3 maps
Dust2B8 ban
43%33%
The MongolZ · 3 mapsedge The MongolZ +10%B8 · 2 maps
AncientThe MongolZ ban
50%67%
The MongolZ · 2 mapsedge B8 +17%B8 · 2 maps
InfernoThe MongolZ pick
71%50%
The MongolZ · 3 mapsedge The MongolZ +21%B8 · 0 maps
OverpassThe MongolZ ban
40%67%
The MongolZ · 1 mapedge B8 +27%B8 · 2 maps
NukeB8 ban
50%40%
The MongolZ · 0 mapsedge The MongolZ +10%B8 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe MongolZ remove Overpass
2. BanB8 remove Nuke
3. PickThe MongolZ take Inferno
4. PickB8 take Mirage
5. BanB8 remove Dust2
6. BanThe MongolZ remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
The MongolZ 31%B8 69%
The model gave 69% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
The MongolZ 63%B8 37%
The model gave 63% on The MongolZ — the map was taken by The MongolZ.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
The MongolZ 36%B8 64%
The model gave 64% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe MongolZ · 64%
Series resultB8 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3