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CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
AM#57 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Falcons Force#152 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2AM ban
22%43%
AM · 5 mapsedge Falcons Force +21%Falcons Force · 3 maps
AncientFalcons Force pick
43%43%
AM · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons Force · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
57%57%
AM · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons Force · 3 maps
NukeFalcons Force ban
44%40%
AM · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Falcons Force · 1 map
InfernoAM pick
63%50%
AM · 4 mapsedge AM +13%Falcons Force · 0 maps
OverpassFalcons Force ban
71%50%
AM · 3 mapsedge AM +21%Falcons Force · 0 maps
AnubisAM ban
50%40%
AM · 0 mapsedge AM +10%Falcons Force · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAM remove Anubis
2. BanFalcons Force remove Overpass
3. PickAM take Inferno
4. PickFalcons Force take Ancient
5. BanFalcons Force remove Nuke
6. BanAM remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (57% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
AM 58%Falcons Force 42%
The model gave 58% on AM — the map was taken by AM.
Ancientprediction missed16:13
AM 47%Falcons Force 53%
The model gave 53% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by AM.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 52%
Series resultAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2