CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
fnatic#36 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Falcons Force#152 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFalcons Force pick
44%67%
fnatic · 5 mapsedge Falcons Force +23%Falcons Force · 2 maps
AncientFalcons Force ban
50%43%
fnatic · 2 mapsedge fnatic +7%Falcons Force · 3 maps
Dust2fnatic ban
50%43%
fnatic · 2 mapsedge fnatic +7%Falcons Force · 3 maps
InfernoFalcons Force ban
67%50%
fnatic · 5 mapsedge fnatic +17%Falcons Force · 0 maps
Anubisfnatic pick
43%50%
fnatic · 3 mapsedge Falcons Force +7%Falcons Force · 0 maps
Nukefnatic ban
50%40%
fnatic · 0 mapsedge fnatic +10%Falcons Force · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banfnatic remove Nuke
2. BanFalcons Force remove Inferno
3. Pickfnatic take Anubis
4. PickFalcons Force take Mirage
5. BanFalcons Force remove Ancient
6. Banfnatic remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
fnatic 26%Falcons Force 74%
The model gave 74% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by fnatic.
Anubisprediction missed16:13
fnatic 46%Falcons Force 54%
The model gave 54% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by fnatic.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 66%
Series resultfnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2