Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Legacy#7 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FaZe#14 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLegacy ban
36%57%
Legacy · 7 mapsedge FaZe +21%FaZe · 10 maps
MirageLegacy pick
78%67%
Legacy · 5 mapsedge Legacy +11%FaZe · 8 maps
Dust2FaZe ban
58%38%
Legacy · 8 mapsedge Legacy +20%FaZe · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
44%67%
Legacy · 5 mapsedge FaZe +23%FaZe · 5 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
64%50%
Legacy · 7 mapsedge Legacy +14%FaZe · 0 maps
CacheFaZe pick
60%78%
Legacy · 1 mapedge FaZe +18%FaZe · 5 maps
AnubisLegacy ban
50%50%
Legacy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%FaZe · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLegacy remove Anubis
2. BanFaZe remove Inferno
3. PickLegacy take Mirage
4. PickFaZe take Cache
5. BanFaZe remove Dust2
6. BanLegacy remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (44% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct6:13
Legacy 28%FaZe 72%
The model gave 72% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
Legacy 66%FaZe 34%
The model gave 66% on Legacy — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 61%
Series resultFaZe 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2