CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom#88 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TNC#147 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTNC pick
44%46%
Phantom · 5 mapsnearly even -2%TNC · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%55%
Phantom · 4 mapsedge TNC +5%TNC · 7 maps
NukePhantom ban
57%67%
Phantom · 3 mapsedge TNC +10%TNC · 8 maps
Dust2TNC ban
75%29%
Phantom · 4 mapsedge Phantom +46%TNC · 3 maps
AnubisTNC ban
50%56%
Phantom · 0 mapsedge TNC +6%TNC · 5 maps
OverpassPhantom ban
50%33%
Phantom · 0 mapsedge Phantom +17%TNC · 2 maps
DefaultPhantom pick
50%40%
Phantom · 0 mapsedge Phantom +10%TNC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom remove Overpass
2. BanTNC remove Dust2
3. PickPhantom take Default
4. PickTNC take Ancient
5. BanTNC remove Anubis
6. BanPhantom remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (50% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:8
Phantom 69%TNC 31%
The model gave 69% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Phantom 42%TNC 58%
The model gave 58% on TNC — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 53%
Series resultPhantom 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2