BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2paiN Academy ban
50%36%
Galorys · 6 mapsedge Galorys +14%paiN Academy · 7 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
63%55%
Galorys · 4 mapsedge Galorys +8%paiN Academy · 7 maps
NukeGalorys pick
50%50%
Galorys · 6 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
55%50%
Galorys · 7 mapsedge Galorys +5%paiN Academy · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
38%50%
Galorys · 4 mapsedge paiN Academy +12%paiN Academy · 2 maps
AnubisGalorys ban
50%50%
Galorys · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 4 maps
DefaultGalorys ban
50%50%
Galorys · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Default
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. PickGalorys take Nuke
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
6. BanGalorys remove Anubis
DeciderOverpass (38% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Galorys 55%paiN Academy 45%
The model gave 55% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Overpassprediction missed13:5
Galorys 40%paiN Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 75%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2