BC Game Masters Championship Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Acend#39 in the world · loss 8:13series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 8:13
KOLESIE#83 in the world · win 13:8The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Default
60%60%
Acend · 1 mapnearly even +0%KOLESIE · 1 map
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed8:13
Acend 50%KOLESIE 50%
The model gave 50% on Acend — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Model check result
Model favoriteAcend · 54%
Series resultKOLESIE 8:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1