CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 13:9series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 13:9
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 9:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNinjas in Pyjamas ban
57%40%
B8 · 3 mapsedge B8 +17%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 map
Dust2B8 ban
33%40%
B8 · 2 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +7%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
60%60%
B8 · 1 mapnearly even +0%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 map
AnubisB8 ban
50%50%
B8 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 2 maps
NukeB8 ban
40%60%
B8 · 1 mapedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +20%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 map
OverpassNinjas in Pyjamas ban
67%50%
B8 · 2 mapsedge B8 +17%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Mirage
3. BanB8 remove Nuke
4. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Overpass
5. BanB8 remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
B8 50%Ninjas in Pyjamas 50%
The model gave 50% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 67%
Series resultB8 13:9
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1