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CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
R2#208 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2R2 ban
63%56%
R2 · 4 mapsedge R2 +7%METANOIA Wolves · 5 maps
NukeR2 pick
44%50%
R2 · 5 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +6%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
AncientR2 ban
67%50%
R2 · 2 mapsedge R2 +17%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%57%
R2 · 1 mapnearly even +3%METANOIA Wolves · 3 maps
OverpassMETANOIA Wolves pick
43%50%
R2 · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +7%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
AnubisMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%33%
R2 · 0 mapsedge R2 +17%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
InfernoMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%40%
R2 · 0 mapsedge R2 +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanR2 remove Dust2
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Anubis
3. PickR2 take Nuke
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Overpass
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Inferno
6. BanR2 remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (60% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
R2 54%METANOIA Wolves 46%
The model gave 54% on R2 — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Overpassprediction missed13:11
R2 46%METANOIA Wolves 54%
The model gave 54% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by R2.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
R2 44%METANOIA Wolves 56%
The model gave 56% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 60%
Series resultMETANOIA Wolves 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3