CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Misa#115 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultMisa pick
33%50%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge Misa +17%Misa · 0 maps
Dust2Bebop pick
71%60%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge Bebop +11%Misa · 1 map
InfernoBebop ban
50%50%
Bebop · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Misa · 2 maps
MirageMisa ban
57%50%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge Bebop +7%Misa · 0 maps
AncientBebop ban
33%50%
Bebop · 2 mapsedge Misa +17%Misa · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
40%40%
Bebop · 1 mapnearly even +0%Misa · 1 map
AnubisMisa ban
50%40%
Bebop · 0 mapsedge Bebop +10%Misa · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Ancient
2. BanMisa remove Mirage
3. PickBebop take Dust2
4. PickMisa take Default
5. BanMisa remove Anubis
6. BanBebop remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Bebop 60%Misa 40%
The model gave 60% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Anubisprediction correct13:6
Bebop 57%Misa 43%
The model gave 57% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 61%
Series resultBebop 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2