BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
VEXA#257 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisUNO MILLE ban
71%50%
VEXA · 3 mapsedge VEXA +21%UNO MILLE · 0 maps
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
50%60%
VEXA · 2 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 1 map
MirageUNO MILLE ban
33%40%
VEXA · 2 mapsedge UNO MILLE +7%UNO MILLE · 1 map
InfernoVEXA pick
50%50%
VEXA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%UNO MILLE · 2 maps
AncientVEXA ban
40%50%
VEXA · 1 mapedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVEXA remove Ancient
2. BanUNO MILLE remove Anubis
3. PickVEXA take Inferno
4. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
5. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed5:13
VEXA 74%UNO MILLE 26%
The model gave 74% on VEXA — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Infernoprediction correct3:13
VEXA 47%UNO MILLE 53%
The model gave 53% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 62%
Series resultUNO MILLE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2