BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
VEXA#257 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
50%69%
VEXA · 4 mapsedge UNO MILLE +19%UNO MILLE · 9 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
43%44%
VEXA · 3 mapsnearly even -1%UNO MILLE · 5 maps
AnubisVEXA pick
75%60%
VEXA · 4 mapsedge VEXA +15%UNO MILLE · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
50%56%
VEXA · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +6%UNO MILLE · 5 maps
OverpassVEXA ban
50%71%
VEXA · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +21%UNO MILLE · 3 maps
AncientUNO MILLE ban
50%50%
VEXA · 2 mapsnearly even +0%UNO MILLE · 0 maps
DefaultVEXA ban
50%50%
VEXA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%UNO MILLE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVEXA remove Overpass
2. BanUNO MILLE remove Ancient
3. PickVEXA take Anubis
4. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
5. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
6. BanVEXA remove Default
DeciderInferno (50% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed5:13
VEXA 69%UNO MILLE 31%
The model gave 69% on VEXA — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Infernoprediction correct3:13
VEXA 42%UNO MILLE 58%
The model gave 58% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 62%
Series resultUNO MILLE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2