CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
M80#40 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MOUZ#5 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoM80 pick
40%50%
M80 · 1 mapedge MOUZ +10%MOUZ · 2 maps
AncientMOUZ ban
40%40%
M80 · 1 mapnearly even +0%MOUZ · 1 map
MirageMOUZ pick
50%67%
M80 · 0 mapsedge MOUZ +17%MOUZ · 2 maps
NukeM80 ban
50%60%
M80 · 0 mapsedge MOUZ +10%MOUZ · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM80 remove Nuke
2. BanMOUZ remove Ancient
3. PickM80 take Inferno
4. PickMOUZ take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed3:13
M80 53%MOUZ 47%
The model gave 53% on M80 — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
M80 37%MOUZ 63%
The model gave 63% on MOUZ — the map was taken by M80.
Mirageprediction correct2:13
M80 33%MOUZ 67%
The model gave 67% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 66%
Series resultMOUZ 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3