BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
67%29%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsedge UNO MILLE +38%GUARA · 3 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%33%
UNO MILLE · 4 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%GUARA · 2 maps
MirageGUARA ban
44%40%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsnearly even +4%GUARA · 1 map
NukeUNO MILLE ban
50%33%
UNO MILLE · 2 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%GUARA · 2 maps
DefaultUNO MILLE ban
50%60%
UNO MILLE · 2 mapsedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 1 map
OverpassGUARA ban
71%50%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsedge UNO MILLE +21%GUARA · 0 maps
AnubisGUARA pick
60%50%
UNO MILLE · 1 mapedge UNO MILLE +10%GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Nuke
2. BanGUARA remove Overpass
3. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
4. PickGUARA take Anubis
5. BanGUARA remove Mirage
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Default
DeciderInferno (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
UNO MILLE 64%GUARA 36%
The model gave 64% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
UNO MILLE 85%GUARA 15%
The model gave 85% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 65%
Series resultUNO MILLE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2