BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GUARA#227 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultUNO MILLE ban
50%60%
UNO MILLE · 0 mapsedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 1 map
Dust2GUARA ban
50%40%
UNO MILLE · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%GUARA · 1 map
InfernoUNO MILLE pick
40%50%
UNO MILLE · 1 mapedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 0 maps
MirageGUARA pick
40%50%
UNO MILLE · 1 mapedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 0 maps
NukeGUARA ban
50%40%
UNO MILLE · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%GUARA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Default
2. BanGUARA remove Nuke
3. PickUNO MILLE take Inferno
4. PickGUARA take Mirage
5. BanGUARA remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
UNO MILLE 37%GUARA 63%
The model gave 63% on GUARA — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
UNO MILLE 63%GUARA 37%
The model gave 63% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 65%
Series resultUNO MILLE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2