IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Legacy#7 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM#13 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBETBOOM pick
50%50%
Legacy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%BETBOOM · 4 maps
Dust2possible decider
71%67%
Legacy · 3 mapsnearly even +4%BETBOOM · 2 maps
AncientBETBOOM ban
29%40%
Legacy · 3 mapsedge BETBOOM +11%BETBOOM · 1 map
MirageLegacy pick
71%40%
Legacy · 3 mapsedge Legacy +31%BETBOOM · 1 map
AnubisLegacy ban
60%67%
Legacy · 1 mapedge BETBOOM +7%BETBOOM · 2 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
57%50%
Legacy · 3 mapsedge Legacy +7%BETBOOM · 0 maps
OverpassLegacy ban
50%40%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%BETBOOM · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLegacy remove Anubis
2. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
3. PickLegacy take Mirage
4. PickBETBOOM take Nuke
5. BanBETBOOM remove Ancient
6. BanLegacy remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (71% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
Legacy 81%BETBOOM 19%
The model gave 81% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Nukeprediction missed13:3
Legacy 47%BETBOOM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by Legacy.
Model check result
Model favoriteLegacy · 54%
Series resultLegacy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2