BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#68 in the world · win 2:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Yawara#141 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoYawara ban
50%60%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Yawara +10%Yawara · 1 map
MirageBounty Hunters ban
50%60%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Yawara +10%Yawara · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Mirage
2. BanYawara remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct3:13
Bounty Hunters 47%Yawara 53%
The model gave 53% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Ancientprediction correct13:1
Bounty Hunters 53%Yawara 47%
The model gave 53% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Bounty Hunters 40%Yawara 60%
The model gave 60% on Yawara — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 52%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3