BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · win 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
50%57%
Keyd Stars · 8 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +7%METANOIA Wolves · 3 maps
AncientKeyd Stars ban
57%43%
Keyd Stars · 3 mapsedge Keyd Stars +14%METANOIA Wolves · 3 maps
NukeMETANOIA Wolves pick
50%60%
Keyd Stars · 4 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
38%50%
Keyd Stars · 4 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +12%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
AnubisMETANOIA Wolves ban
67%40%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge Keyd Stars +27%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Keyd Stars +10%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
OverpassKeyd Stars ban
40%50%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Overpass
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
3. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Nuke
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Anubis
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed1:13
Keyd Stars 61%METANOIA Wolves 39%
The model gave 61% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Keyd Stars 46%METANOIA Wolves 54%
The model gave 54% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Keyd Stars 40%METANOIA Wolves 60%
The model gave 60% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 51%
Series resultKeyd Stars 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3