BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#112 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
60%60%
Isurus · 1 mapnearly even +0%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Infernoex-KRÜ pick
40%40%
Isurus · 1 mapnearly even +0%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Ancientex-KRÜ ban
40%50%
Isurus · 1 mapedge ex-KRÜ +10%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
MirageIsurus ban
50%60%
Isurus · 0 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +10%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Mirage
2. Banex-KRÜ remove Ancient
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. Pickex-KRÜ take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
Isurus 37%ex-KRÜ 63%
The model gave 63% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by Isurus.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Isurus 53%ex-KRÜ 47%
The model gave 53% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 56%
Series resultIsurus 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2