BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#186 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
54%57%
Isurus · 9 mapsnearly even -3%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
AncientIsurus ban
38%40%
Isurus · 4 mapsnearly even -2%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
InfernoIsurus ban
50%40%
Isurus · 4 mapsedge Isurus +10%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
63%60%
Isurus · 4 mapsnearly even +3%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Nukeex-KRÜ pick
57%50%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge Isurus +7%ex-KRÜ · 2 maps
Overpassex-KRÜ ban
50%40%
Isurus · 2 mapsedge Isurus +10%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Defaultex-KRÜ ban
67%50%
Isurus · 2 mapsedge Isurus +17%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Ancient
2. Banex-KRÜ remove Overpass
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. Pickex-KRÜ take Nuke
5. Banex-KRÜ remove Default
6. BanIsurus remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (63% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
Isurus 44%ex-KRÜ 56%
The model gave 56% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by Isurus.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
Isurus 50%ex-KRÜ 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 56%
Series resultIsurus 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2