CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OlyBet#225 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeJust Players ban
50%57%
Just Players · 4 mapsedge OlyBet +7%OlyBet · 3 maps
Dust2OlyBet pick
33%57%
Just Players · 2 mapsedge OlyBet +24%OlyBet · 3 maps
MirageJust Players pick
50%67%
Just Players · 2 mapsedge OlyBet +17%OlyBet · 2 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%60%
Just Players · 1 mapnearly even +0%OlyBet · 1 map
InfernoJust Players ban
50%33%
Just Players · 0 mapsedge Just Players +17%OlyBet · 2 maps
DefaultOlyBet ban
40%50%
Just Players · 1 mapedge OlyBet +10%OlyBet · 0 maps
OverpassOlyBet ban
60%50%
Just Players · 1 mapedge Just Players +10%OlyBet · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Inferno
2. BanOlyBet remove Overpass
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. PickOlyBet take Dust2
5. BanOlyBet remove Default
6. BanJust Players remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed14:16
Just Players 53%OlyBet 47%
The model gave 53% on Just Players — the map was taken by OlyBet.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
Just Players 25%OlyBet 75%
The model gave 75% on OlyBet — the map was taken by Just Players.
Nukeprediction missed13:10
Just Players 43%OlyBet 57%
The model gave 57% on OlyBet — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteOlyBet · 50%
Series resultJust Players 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3