NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#102 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Walczaki#44 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:5
SPARTA 47%Walczaki 53%
The model gave 53% on Walczaki — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
SPARTA 53%Walczaki 47%
The model gave 53% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Mirageprediction missed3:13
SPARTA 50%Walczaki 50%
The model gave 50% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 68%
Series resultWalczaki 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3