CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeALKA pick
67%67%
ALKA · 2 mapsnearly even +0%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%50%
ALKA · 1 mapedge ALKA +10%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
OverpassMIBR Academy pick
60%50%
ALKA · 1 mapedge ALKA +10%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
DefaultALKA ban
50%67%
ALKA · 0 mapsedge MIBR Academy +17%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
AncientALKA ban
50%60%
ALKA · 0 mapsedge MIBR Academy +10%MIBR Academy · 1 map
AnubisMIBR Academy ban
50%40%
ALKA · 0 mapsedge ALKA +10%MIBR Academy · 1 map
Dust2MIBR Academy ban
50%40%
ALKA · 0 mapsedge ALKA +10%MIBR Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanALKA remove Default
2. BanMIBR Academy remove Anubis
3. PickALKA take Nuke
4. PickMIBR Academy take Overpass
5. BanMIBR Academy remove Dust2
6. BanALKA remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
ALKA 47%MIBR Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by ALKA.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
ALKA 43%MIBR Academy 57%
The model gave 57% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR Academy · 61%
Series resultALKA 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2