CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
ALKA#108 in the world · win 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MIBR Academy#130 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageALKA ban
50%60%
ALKA · 0 mapsedge MIBR Academy +10%MIBR Academy · 1 map
NukeMIBR Academy ban
50%60%
ALKA · 0 mapsedge MIBR Academy +10%MIBR Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanALKA remove Mirage
2. BanMIBR Academy remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
ALKA 37%MIBR Academy 63%
The model gave 63% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by ALKA.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
ALKA 53%MIBR Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR Academy · 61%
Series resultALKA 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2