BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
67%67%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Yawara · 8 maps
MirageYawara pick
50%67%
UNO MILLE · 4 mapsedge Yawara +17%Yawara · 5 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%44%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsedge UNO MILLE +13%Yawara · 5 maps
AnubisYawara ban
60%43%
UNO MILLE · 1 mapedge UNO MILLE +17%Yawara · 3 maps
OverpassYawara ban
71%60%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsedge UNO MILLE +11%Yawara · 1 map
DefaultUNO MILLE ban
50%60%
UNO MILLE · 2 mapsedge Yawara +10%Yawara · 1 map
AncientUNO MILLE ban
50%33%
UNO MILLE · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%Yawara · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Ancient
2. BanYawara remove Overpass
3. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
4. PickYawara take Mirage
5. BanYawara remove Anubis
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Default
DeciderInferno (57% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
UNO MILLE 31%Yawara 69%
The model gave 69% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
UNO MILLE 65%Yawara 35%
The model gave 65% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 60%
Series resultYawara 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2