BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
3DMAX#20 in the world · win 2:0series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FUT#8 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFUT pick
44%75%
3DMAX · 5 mapsedge FUT +31%FUT · 8 maps
Dust2FUT ban
57%33%
3DMAX · 3 mapsedge 3DMAX +24%FUT · 5 maps
Nuke3DMAX ban
29%22%
3DMAX · 3 mapsedge 3DMAX +7%FUT · 5 maps
Cache3DMAX pick
55%50%
3DMAX · 7 mapsedge 3DMAX +5%FUT · 0 maps
InfernoFUT ban
36%50%
3DMAX · 7 mapsedge FUT +14%FUT · 0 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
50%45%
3DMAX · 0 mapsedge 3DMAX +5%FUT · 7 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%45%
3DMAX · 0 mapsedge 3DMAX +5%FUT · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
2. BanFUT remove Inferno
3. Pick3DMAX take Cache
4. PickFUT take Ancient
5. BanFUT remove Dust2
6. Ban3DMAX remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (50% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
3DMAX 75%FUT 25%
The model gave 75% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
3DMAX 19%FUT 81%
The model gave 81% on FUT — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Model check result
Model favoriteFUT · 72%
Series result3DMAX 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2