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StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
3DMAX#20 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Gentle Mates#38 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoGentle Mates pick
33%63%
3DMAX · 5 mapsedge Gentle Mates +30%Gentle Mates · 12 maps
Ancient3DMAX ban
38%63%
3DMAX · 4 mapsedge Gentle Mates +25%Gentle Mates · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
40%39%
3DMAX · 1 mapnearly even +1%Gentle Mates · 14 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
50%54%
3DMAX · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Gentle Mates · 9 maps
AnubisGentle Mates ban
38%50%
3DMAX · 4 mapsedge Gentle Mates +12%Gentle Mates · 4 maps
CacheGentle Mates ban
63%40%
3DMAX · 4 mapsedge 3DMAX +23%Gentle Mates · 1 map
Overpass3DMAX pick
50%57%
3DMAX · 0 mapsedge Gentle Mates +7%Gentle Mates · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
2. BanGentle Mates remove Cache
3. Pick3DMAX take Overpass
4. PickGentle Mates take Inferno
5. BanGentle Mates remove Anubis
6. Ban3DMAX remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (40% / 39%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
3DMAX 21%Gentle Mates 79%
The model gave 79% on Gentle Mates — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Cacheprediction missed4:13
3DMAX 74%Gentle Mates 26%
The model gave 74% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
3DMAX 51%Gentle Mates 49%
The model gave 51% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Model check result
Model favorite3DMAX · 62%
Series resultGentle Mates 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3