Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
3DMAX#20 in the world · win 2:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
M80#27 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoM80 pick
44%54%
3DMAX · 12 mapsedge M80 +10%M80 · 9 maps
Cache3DMAX pick
56%70%
3DMAX · 12 mapsedge M80 +14%M80 · 6 maps
AncientM80 ban
60%50%
3DMAX · 11 mapsedge 3DMAX +10%M80 · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
54%50%
3DMAX · 9 mapsnearly even +4%M80 · 6 maps
NukeM80 ban
36%50%
3DMAX · 10 mapsedge M80 +14%M80 · 0 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
50%50%
3DMAX · 0 mapsnearly even +0%M80 · 6 maps
Anubis3DMAX ban
43%50%
3DMAX · 3 mapsedge M80 +7%M80 · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
2. BanM80 remove Nuke
3. Pick3DMAX take Cache
4. PickM80 take Inferno
5. BanM80 remove Ancient
6. Ban3DMAX remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (54% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed16:14
3DMAX 37%M80 63%
The model gave 63% on M80 — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Ancientprediction missed14:16
3DMAX 63%M80 37%
The model gave 63% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by M80.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
3DMAX 54%M80 46%
The model gave 54% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Model check result
Model favorite3DMAX · 53%
Series result3DMAX 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3