CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MAYBE#173 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNordic Valor pick
50%29%
Nordic Valor · 0 mapsedge Nordic Valor +21%MAYBE · 3 maps
AnubisMAYBE ban
50%50%
Nordic Valor · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MAYBE · 2 maps
Dust2MAYBE ban
50%33%
Nordic Valor · 0 mapsedge Nordic Valor +17%MAYBE · 2 maps
MirageMAYBE pick
50%50%
Nordic Valor · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MAYBE · 2 maps
NukeNordic Valor ban
50%60%
Nordic Valor · 0 mapsedge MAYBE +10%MAYBE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNordic Valor remove Nuke
2. BanMAYBE remove Dust2
3. PickNordic Valor take Ancient
4. PickMAYBE take Mirage
5. BanMAYBE remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct4:13
Nordic Valor 47%MAYBE 53%
The model gave 53% on MAYBE — the map was taken by MAYBE.
Ancientprediction missed4:13
Nordic Valor 74%MAYBE 26%
The model gave 74% on Nordic Valor — the map was taken by MAYBE.
Model check result
Model favoriteMAYBE · 60%
Series resultMAYBE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2