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CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MANA#122 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Falcons Force#152 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
MANA 53%Falcons Force 47%
The model gave 53% on MANA — the map was taken by MANA.
Ancientprediction correct4:13
MANA 47%Falcons Force 53%
The model gave 53% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
MANA 50%Falcons Force 50%
The model gave 50% on MANA — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Model check result
Model favoriteMANA · 53%
Series resultFalcons Force 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3