CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GUARA ban
33%50%
GUARA · 2 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +17%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%43%
GUARA · 0 mapsedge GUARA +7%METANOIA Wolves · 3 maps
DefaultGUARA ban
50%50%
GUARA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
InfernoMETANOIA Wolves pick
33%50%
GUARA · 2 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +17%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
AnubisGUARA pick
50%40%
GUARA · 0 mapsedge GUARA +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
40%50%
GUARA · 1 mapedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
NukeMETANOIA Wolves ban
40%50%
GUARA · 1 mapedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGUARA remove Dust2
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
3. PickGUARA take Anubis
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Inferno
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Nuke
6. BanGUARA remove Default
DeciderAncient (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
GUARA 31%METANOIA Wolves 69%
The model gave 69% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Nukeprediction correct13:16
GUARA 43%METANOIA Wolves 57%
The model gave 57% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 63%
Series resultMETANOIA Wolves 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2