CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TNC#147 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeTNC pick
65%64%
Lavked · 13 mapsnearly even +1%TNC · 7 maps
MirageLavked pick
71%60%
Lavked · 13 mapsedge Lavked +11%TNC · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
75%50%
Lavked · 8 mapsedge Lavked +25%TNC · 8 maps
Dust2Lavked ban
44%29%
Lavked · 12 mapsedge Lavked +15%TNC · 3 maps
InfernoTNC ban
33%50%
Lavked · 8 mapsedge TNC +17%TNC · 0 maps
AnubisLavked ban
40%56%
Lavked · 1 mapedge TNC +16%TNC · 5 maps
OverpassTNC ban
60%33%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Lavked +27%TNC · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Anubis
2. BanTNC remove Overpass
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickTNC take Nuke
5. BanTNC remove Inferno
6. BanLavked remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (75% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
Lavked 73%TNC 27%
The model gave 73% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Nukeprediction missed4:13
Lavked 54%TNC 46%
The model gave 54% on Lavked — the map was taken by TNC.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
Lavked 62%TNC 38%
The model gave 62% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 60%
Series resultLavked 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3