CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TNC#139 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisTNC ban
50%40%
Lavked · 0 mapsedge Lavked +10%TNC · 1 map
MirageLavked ban
50%60%
Lavked · 0 mapsedge TNC +10%TNC · 1 map
NukeLavked pick
50%60%
Lavked · 0 mapsedge TNC +10%TNC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Mirage
2. BanTNC remove Anubis
3. PickLavked take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
Lavked 47%TNC 53%
The model gave 53% on TNC — the map was taken by Lavked.
Nukeprediction correct4:13
Lavked 43%TNC 57%
The model gave 57% on TNC — the map was taken by TNC.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Lavked 40%TNC 60%
The model gave 60% on TNC — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 51%
Series resultLavked 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3