CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Famalicão#153 in the world · win 2:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Falcons Force#152 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Famalicão pick
44%50%
Famalicão · 5 mapsedge Falcons Force +6%Falcons Force · 0 maps
MirageFamalicão ban
43%50%
Famalicão · 3 mapsedge Falcons Force +7%Falcons Force · 0 maps
OverpassFalcons Force ban
57%50%
Famalicão · 3 mapsedge Famalicão +7%Falcons Force · 0 maps
AncientFalcons Force pick
40%40%
Famalicão · 1 mapnearly even +0%Falcons Force · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
33%50%
Famalicão · 2 mapsedge Falcons Force +17%Falcons Force · 0 maps
DefaultFalcons Force ban
60%50%
Famalicão · 1 mapedge Famalicão +10%Falcons Force · 0 maps
NukeFamalicão ban
50%40%
Famalicão · 0 mapsedge Famalicão +10%Falcons Force · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFamalicão remove Nuke
2. BanFalcons Force remove Overpass
3. PickFamalicão take Dust2
4. PickFalcons Force take Ancient
5. BanFalcons Force remove Default
6. BanFamalicão remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed16:12
Famalicão 47%Falcons Force 53%
The model gave 53% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Famalicão.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
Famalicão 47%Falcons Force 53%
The model gave 53% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Famalicão.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 66%
Series resultFamalicão 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2