CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MANA#86 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BRUTE#74 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BRUTE pick
50%60%
MANA · 2 mapsedge BRUTE +10%BRUTE · 6 maps
MirageMANA pick
50%29%
MANA · 4 mapsedge MANA +21%BRUTE · 3 maps
InfernoMANA ban
40%33%
MANA · 1 mapedge MANA +7%BRUTE · 5 maps
OverpassMANA ban
40%75%
MANA · 1 mapedge BRUTE +35%BRUTE · 4 maps
Anubispossible decider
57%40%
MANA · 3 mapsedge MANA +17%BRUTE · 1 map
NukeBRUTE ban
60%43%
MANA · 1 mapedge MANA +17%BRUTE · 3 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
40%50%
MANA · 1 mapedge BRUTE +10%BRUTE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMANA remove Overpass
2. BanBRUTE remove Nuke
3. PickMANA take Mirage
4. PickBRUTE take Dust2
5. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
6. BanMANA remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (57% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
MANA 54%BRUTE 46%
The model gave 54% on MANA — the map was taken by MANA.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
MANA 74%BRUTE 26%
The model gave 74% on MANA — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
MANA 40%BRUTE 60%
The model gave 60% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favoriteMANA · 58%
Series resultBRUTE 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3