BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#79 in the world · win 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Galorys ban
50%60%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 1 map
MirageUNO MILLE ban
50%60%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Dust2
2. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Galorys 37%UNO MILLE 63%
The model gave 63% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Galorys.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Galorys 53%UNO MILLE 47%
The model gave 53% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 55%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2